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F1 Race Predictions for the Last Seven Grands Prix of 2026
Seven Grands Prix are left in 2026, from the Singapore night race on 11 October to Abu Dhabi on 6 December. For each one we set out what the circuit rewards, who we expect on the podium and the price we think the winner is worth.
Sixteen rounds into 2026, the form book is unusually clear. Mercedes have won eleven Grands Prix, Kimi Antonelli eight of them and George Russell three, and Antonelli leads the standings by 84 points. The interesting thing for F1 predictions now is the group behind them: Max Verstappen has finished third, second, second and first in the last four races, and Ferrari and McLaren have each won twice. Here is our view of the seven races that are left.
On this page10 sectionsexpand
- Nº 01How we make these F1 predictions
- Nº 02Singapore Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 03United States Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 04Mexico City Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 05São Paulo Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 06Las Vegas Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 07Qatar Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 08Abu Dhabi Grand Prix odds and prediction
- Nº 09Using these F1 betting tips
- Nº 10Where to watch
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How we make these F1 predictions
Each pick starts from the season's form and then asks what the circuit changes. Street circuits put weight on qualifying and on safety cars. Fast permanent tracks reward the best car over a lap. Weather, altitude and night temperatures move the order further. The price after each pick is our estimate of a fair price for that driver to win, with no margin added. It is not a bookmaker price, and it will usually be longer than what you see on a sportsbook. Use the odds converter to compare a quoted price with ours.
| Round | Grand Prix | Weekend | Circuit | Our pick to win | Fair price (estimate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Singapore | 9–11 October | Marina Bay | George Russell | 4.0 |
| 18 | United States | 23–25 October | Circuit of the Americas | Kimi Antonelli | 3.0 |
| 19 | Mexico City | 30 October–1 November | Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez | Kimi Antonelli | 3.25 |
| 20 | São Paulo | 6–8 November | Interlagos | Kimi Antonelli | 3.5 |
| 21 | Las Vegas | 19–21 November | Las Vegas Strip Circuit | Max Verstappen | 4.5 |
| 22 | Qatar | 27–29 November | Lusail | Kimi Antonelli | 3.25 |
| 23 | Abu Dhabi | 4–6 December | Yas Marina | George Russell | 4.0 |
Singapore Grand Prix odds and prediction
Round 17 runs from 9 to 11 October on the Marina Bay Street Circuit, 4.927 km and 19 turns, with the race over 62 laps starting at 8pm local time. It is also the last sprint weekend of the year, the first time Singapore has used the format.
What matters: this is a bumpy, humid street circuit with walls close to the line and very few places to pass, so the grid decides most of the race. Safety cars are part of the plan. Singapore had at least one in every Grand Prix from 2008 until 2024 broke the run. Less practice time on a sprint weekend also makes Friday a weaker guide than usual.
Our view: Russell won here in 2025 and won from pole in Baku last month, the other street circuit of the autumn. We take him to win at an estimated 4.0, with Antonelli and Verstappen completing our podium. Antonelli started sixteenth in Baku; a poor qualifying here would cost him more than anywhere else on the run-in.
United States Grand Prix odds and prediction
Round 18 is 23–25 October at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin: 5.514 km, 20 turns, run anticlockwise, with a climb of more than 11% to the first corner.
What matters: the layout includes a copy of Silverstone's Maggotts, Becketts and Chapel sequence, so a car with strong high-speed balance gains there, and some corners were widened to allow more than one line. It is also the earliest point at which Antonelli could settle the title.
Our view: Antonelli to win at an estimated 3.0, with Verstappen, who won in Austin in 2025, and Russell on the podium. If the title can be decided that weekend, we would expect a clean, conservative race from him rather than a gamble on strategy.
Mexico City Grand Prix odds and prediction
Round 19 is 30 October to 1 November at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, 2,238 metres above sea level. The lap is 4.304 km with 17 turns and runs through the baseball stadium section before the final corner.
What matters: the thin air cuts drag, so teams can run high-downforce settings without paying for it on the straight, and the turbocharged cars still pass 370 km/h on the main straight. That makes a car's balance through the slow stadium section count for more than outright power.
Our view: Antonelli at an estimated 3.25. Lando Norris won here in 2025, and we see McLaren as the team most likely to break the Mercedes pattern on this kind of track; Norris is our outside pick for the podium alongside Antonelli and Russell.
São Paulo Grand Prix odds and prediction
Round 20, listed on the F1 calendar as the Brazilian Grand Prix, is 6–8 November at Interlagos: 4.309 km, anticlockwise, on hilly ground, with a long uphill left-hander at a 10% gradient leading to the pits.
What matters: the weather. Sudden rain is a standing feature of a São Paulo weekend, from a short drizzle to a downpour, and a wet race reshuffles the order. Sepang last weekend showed how much: in a rain-hit race Verstappen won from pole and Lewis Hamilton recovered from eighteenth to third.
Our view: in the dry, Antonelli at an estimated 3.5, with Norris (who won here in 2025) and Russell next. If rain is forecast for Sunday, we would move towards Verstappen and Hamilton and away from short-priced favourites.
Las Vegas Grand Prix odds and prediction
Round 21 is 19–21 November, with the race on Saturday night local time. The Las Vegas Strip Circuit is 6.201 km, runs anticlockwise through 17 corners and has a straight of 1.9 km.
What matters: straight-line speed and stability under braking at the end of that straight, which also gives the best overtaking chance of the closing races. It is a street circuit laid out past the Sphere, Caesars Palace and the Bellagio, so the walls are close and a mistake ends the race.
Our view: Verstappen won here in 2025 and holds the lap record from that race. On his current run of form he is our pick at an estimated 4.5, with Antonelli and Russell on the podium.
Qatar Grand Prix odds and prediction
Round 22 is 27–29 November at the Lusail International Circuit: 5.419 km and 16 turns, a night race with a 1.068 km main straight.
What matters: Lusail is a mix of fast and medium-speed corners, which favours a car that is quick over the whole lap rather than on one kind of corner. Verstappen won here in 2025.
Our view: Antonelli at an estimated 3.25, with Verstappen and Russell next. If the title has already been settled, Mercedes may have less reason to protect the leader, which would bring Russell closer.
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix odds and prediction
The final round is 4–6 December at Yas Marina: 5.281 km and 16 turns, raced at twilight under permanent lights. The 2021 changes replaced the tight middle section with a hairpin and a fast banked curve to help overtaking.
What matters: the finale's pattern depends on the table. If the title is already settled, the only thing left to race for is places in the standings, and teams' approach to risk can change. Verstappen won here in 2025.
Our view: Russell at an estimated 4.0, with Antonelli and Verstappen completing our podium. This is the most speculative pick on the page and we will revise it after Qatar.
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A few practical points about turning these F1 predictions into bets.
- Podium and top-three bets suit this season better than race-winner bets. With Mercedes winning most races, the podium is where the variety sits: Hamilton, Verstappen, Norris, Leclerc and Isack Hadjar have all finished there this year.
- Each-way bets on a race winner pay part of the stake on a podium finish. Check the place terms, then work out the return with the each-way calculator.
- If you like two drivers for one race, back both with the dutching calculator.
- In-play prices move on safety cars and rain faster than any other F1 market. Our in-play betting guide explains how.
For the title itself, our championship odds page does the arithmetic on Antonelli's lead and sets fair prices for every contender.
Where to watch
Each Grand Prix is broadcast by the holder of the Formula 1 rights in your country, and the series' own streaming service covers the markets where it is sold. Some sportsbooks also run motorsport video for logged-in customers. Where a site on our list does that, we say so, but which races it can show changes with the country you are in and the rights that site has bought.
The Formula 1 hub covers every race market, the sports section lists the other sports, and our ranked no verification betting sites are on the home page. These F1 predictions will be updated after qualifying at each round.
How many F1 races are left in 2026?
Are the prices in these F1 predictions real odds?
Why is the Las Vegas Grand Prix on a Saturday?
Who won these races in 2025?
When will the picks be updated?
Where this comes from
- 2026 calendar, dates, rounds 17–23, sprint at Singaporeformula1.com/en/racing/2026; en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Formula_One_World_Championship2026-10-05
- Singapore Grand Prix: start time, laps, distance, sprint formaten.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Singapore_Grand_Prix2026-10-05
- 2026 race winners and recent results (Spa, Madrid, Baku, Sepang)formula1.com/en/results/2026/races; formula1.com race reports; en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Bahrain_Grand_Prix2026-10-05
- 2025 winners at the seven remaining venuesformula1.com/en/results/2025/races2026-10-05
- Circuit lengths, turns, altitude, direction and featuresWikipedia articles on Marina Bay Street Circuit, Circuit of the Americas, Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, Interlagos, Las Vegas Strip Circuit, Lusail International Circuit, Yas Marina Circuit2026-10-05
- Drivers' standings after round 16formula1.com/en/results/2026/drivers2026-10-05
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