UFC 335 in Las Vegas: the four announced fights, read for a bet

How MMA prices work before you bet the card

An MMA fight is a two-way market. There is no draw option on the moneyline, and if a fight is scored a draw most sportsbooks either void the bet or settle it under their own rules, so read the site's settlement terms once. The favourite is the shorter price, the underdog the longer one, and the two implied chances add up to more than 100%. That excess is the margin. On a big numbered card it tends to be thinner on the main event than on a prelim nobody has studied.

Three markets matter more in MMA than in most sports:

• Method of victory. Knockout, submission or decision, for each fighter. Six outcomes, each paying more than the plain winner bet.
• Total rounds. Over or under a half-round line. Over 2.5 means the fight has to pass the halfway point of round three; in a five-rounder the common lines sit higher.
• Goes the distance. A yes or no on whether the judges are needed at all.

For a card like this one, UFC 335 odds on the totals deserve as much attention as the winner lines, because three of the four bouts involve someone with ten or more knockouts.

Oliveira vs Lopes: the main event

Charles Oliveira is 37–11 with one no contest. Twenty-two of his wins came by submission, ten by knockout and only five on the cards, and he holds the UFC records for submission wins (17) and finishes (21). He won the BMF title from Max Holloway in March and finished Mateusz Gamrot with a face crank before that, after a first-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria in June 2025.

Diego Lopes is 28–8, with twelve knockouts, twelve submissions and four decisions. He has lost two five-round fights for the featherweight title to Alexander Volkanovski, the second in February, and since then he knocked out Steve Garcia in June. This is his first fight at lightweight.

Stylistically it is a grappler against a grappler who also hits hard. Oliveira's weakness is defensive: five of his losses are knockouts. Lopes brings power but gives up size in a new division. Our view: Oliveira wins more often than not, and his likeliest route is a submission. Our estimate, not a bookmaker price, is 56% Oliveira, about 1.79, and 44% Lopes, about 2.27. The full method split is in our Oliveira profile. On rounds, a fight between two men with this many finishes leans under, but five rounds give the favourite time, so we would not go as low as the first round. UFC 335 odds on Oliveira by submission are the line we would compare with our profile first.

Pavlovich vs Pereira: the co-main

Sergei Pavlovich is 21–3 with sixteen knockouts and five decisions, stands 6 ft 3 in and has an 84-inch reach. His losses include a first-round knockout by Tom Aspinall in 2023. He has won three straight since, two of them on the cards and the last a 39-second knockout of Tallison Teixeira in May.

Alex Pereira is 13–4, with eleven knockouts. He held belts at middleweight and light heavyweight, regained the second from Magomed Ankalaev in October 2025, then lost his first heavyweight fight to Ciryl Gane by second-round TKO in June. He is five inches shorter in reach and is 39, five years older than Pavlovich.

Our view: Pavlovich is the narrow side, 54% to 46% on our numbers, fair prices about 1.85 and 2.17. Sherdog reported that the opening lines also had Pavlovich ahead. The question for the totals is whether Pavlovich's recent patience lasts; if it does, Pereira's best work historically comes late, in rounds four and five. Of all the UFC 335 odds, this fight's round markets are the hardest to read. Our Pereira profile breaks his numbers down.

Pyfer vs Nickal and Moreno vs Johnson

Joe Pyfer is 16–3, with ten knockouts, four submissions and two decisions, and he comes in on four wins in a row. The last of them was a second-round TKO of Israel Adesanya in March. Bo Nickal is 9–1, a three-time NCAA Division I wrestling champion, and his one loss was a body-knee TKO against Reinier de Ridder in May 2025. Since then he has knocked out Rodolfo Vieira with a head kick and stopped Kyle Daukaus in round one. Both men came through the Contender Series. Pyfer has the deeper record against ranked opposition; Nickal has the better wrestling by a distance. Our view: Pyfer is the slight favourite in our reading, and the reported early lines point the same way, but this is a fight where under 2.5 rounds interests us more than either name.

Brandon Moreno is 24-10-2 and a two-time flyweight champion. His recent run is uneven: a TKO loss to Tatsuro Taira in December 2025, a decision loss to Lone'er Kavanagh in February and a split-decision win over Joseph Morales in September. Charles Johnson is 20–9, with eight knockouts, four submissions and eight decisions; he beat Kavanagh by knockout in 2025 and submitted Eduardo Henrique in August. Our view: Moreno is the more complete fighter and the more likely winner, but nine of his ten losses went the distance, so the decision is the method we would look at first. Over 2.5 rounds fits both men's records, and on a flyweight undercard bout the UFC 335 odds for the totals may get less attention than the headliners.

Our view on a UFC 335 parlay

A parlay multiplies prices, so it also multiplies the margin inside each one. Using our own fair numbers, Oliveira and Pavlovich together come to 56% × 54% = about 30%, a fair 3.31. If the quoted UFC 335 odds on that double come back much shorter than that, the margin has eaten the value and the two singles are the better bet. Our parlay calculator does the multiplication for any number of legs.

Three points before you build one:

1. Keep it short. Two or three legs is enough. Each extra fighter adds risk faster than it adds return.
2. Mix markets carefully. A method or rounds leg pays more than a moneyline leg and can carry more value, but one bad stoppage ends the whole slip.
3. Avoid related legs. Most sites will not let you combine the winner and the method of the same fight, and where they do, the price already reflects the link.

Our view: the most sensible UFC 335 odds to combine are an Oliveira win and the Pyfer vs Nickal fight ending inside the distance. Both rest on our reading of style, not on a single punch.

Late changes and settlement

Cards move. Injuries, missed weight and replacements are common in the final fortnight, and a change of opponent usually voids bets on that fight while the rest of a parlay stands at reduced odds. Missed weight normally does not void anything if the bout goes ahead. The rules for this sit on our UFC and MMA hub, and the rest of the week's calls are on our predictions page. Check UFC 335 odds again after the official weigh-in, when most of these changes are settled.

Where to watch

UFC 335 goes out through the promotion's own broadcast partners, and who holds the rights changes from country to country, so check the UFC's listings for your region before fight night.

Some sportsbooks also show selected fights to signed-in customers. We picked out the no verification betting sites where that option exists, though how much of a card each one carries differs, so look at the schedule on the day before relying on it for the main event.

Bitcasino.ioSportsbook

US$2,500When ID can be asked

Open